Consumer Prices are Growing Creating Inflation Worries

Consumer Prices are growing creating Inflation Worries – Where will this leave interest rates?
By Nancy Woodward

Rising prices are a fact of life. When prices rise faster than expected, the powers in charge are very concerned.

The Consumer Price Index rose .2 percent in January, 2007. Considering there was a large drop in the costs related to energy, this indicates the cost of medical care, food and plane fair rose at a faster pace.

Economists were not expecting this size increase. The Fed held its meeting yesterday and they again expressed concern that inflation is the biggest threat to our economic future. With prices rising and performance slowing, the threat is definitely increasing.

If the Fed becomes concerned enough, Fed Chairman Bernanke will raise interest rates. Rising rates directly affect mortgage rates and the ability of the consumer to buy homes. First time buyers have a harder time qualifying for a loan when rates rise.

The number of homes in inventory rise. Builders and contracts slow their efforts in the new construction arena. Those businesses affected by the rising rates reduce their spending in other areas to compensate for cost increases.

All of this causes growth to slow down thereby affecting inflation. While it is good to slow inflation, those affected negatively by the process would disagree. Hopefully the economy will hold it self in check and Bernanke’s statement to Congress that inflation pressure would decline over the next two years as growth remains moderate will, in fact, be the way it goes.